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2024-12-13 04:39:30

1. The wording of proactive fiscal policy and deficit shows the determination to exceed expectations, and other contents are basically in line with my expectations. It is reasonable for the market to interpret it as a major positive, and the positive reaction of foreign capital may be related to its large-scale layout of China assets and call options in the early stage.My interpretation and evaluation:4. The persistence and strength of the market will mainly depend on the performance of the big financial brokers and the length of the K-line of the stock index entity.


Main contents:1. In 2025, a proactive fiscal policy will be implemented that exceeds market expectations. It is estimated that the fiscal deficit ratio will exceed 4%, and I predict it will be about 4.5%.The contents of the after-hours economic meeting were announced, and foreign capital and the media regarded the China stock index as a major positive; Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index and Singapore's A50 Index soared.


3. Emphasis on stabilizing the property market and the stock market. Beijing rarely mentions the stock market, showing its importance.6. The layout direction remains unchanged, focusing on real estate and consumption in the short term; The mid-line focuses on low-altitude economy, AI applications, semiconductors, and new energy batteries.4. The persistence and strength of the market will mainly depend on the performance of the big financial brokers and the length of the K-line of the stock index entity.

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